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In fact, behind those brands, a whole new sector is taking shape. Data and streaming suppliers, specialist market makers and technology companies are quickly invading the space.
The investment banking and capital markets firm Jefferies said in a September report that sports had become prediction markets’ “most important liquidity driver”, with combo and parlay-style contracts accounting for an increasing share of activity. But the analysts cautioned that prediction markets are scale businesses with relatively low revenue yields, leaving their economics dependent on sustained liquidity, engagement and trading activity.
James Monk, founder of sports data and streaming provider Catalist Sports, has witnessed that dependence directly. Catalist supplies ITF tennis data to Kalshi and Polymarket and has an exclusive US sports-streaming agreement with Kalshi.
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FDJ United Director of Casino and Gaming David Robertson was similarly pleased with the opportunity to see his company strengthen its content offering with brand-new types of content.
“We’re delighted to launch Relax Gaming’s Dream Drop jackpot product, and the initial response from our players has been fantastic. Our ethos is all about creating moments that really matter for players, and Dream Drop does just that,” Robertson said, adding that the company cannot wait for the first Dream Drop millionaire to materialize in Denmark.
Dream Drop has been a massively popular system with operators, offering companies a way to enhance the experience and retain and engage customers. The Dream Drop jackpot operates just like any other progressive jackpot system, where players get a chance to randomly trigger a massive million(s)-worth payout.
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Japan’s ability to lure back the world’s biggest casino developers will hinge on the regulatory framework the government unveils later this year, says Klebanow.
If it strikes a more reasonable balance that encourages economic development, “you will see the world’s best casino operators submit proposals”, he says. The government, he adds, must show it is prepared to give developers enough room to manage the risks of committing billions of dollars in capital.
Klebanow remains cautious about the commercial prospects of Japan’s emerging IR market, particularly given the tight limits on gaming capacity. With only five casinos ultimately envisaged, he argues that the number of gaming machines and tables will be modest relative to Japan’s population, making it “very safe to assume” that gambling will be socially and physically contained.
